As of this writing, the ongoing Camp Fire in northern California was聽responsible for taking . Both numbers are expected to rise as the fire continues and as first responders sift through the wreckage. As extreme wildfires like this one become the new normal across the American West, I thought it鈥檇 be important to put the devastation they create in perspective.聽
The Camp Fire was likely started by downed power lines sometime on Thursday morning. Near-zero-humidity conditions had left brush bone dry, meaning embers聽burst into flames almost immediately. Powerful winds coming down from the Great Basin whipped those embers forward in what survivors have described as a firestorm. By the time those flames聽reached the town of Paradise later that day, the fire was advancing at a rate of 80 acres per聽minute.聽Reports indicate virtually the entire town was destroyed. As of Tuesday, 聽and was聽only 30 percent contained.聽
While this is the deadliest fire in California history, it still falls聽behind other massive conflagrations when it comes to size and fatalities. , which burned 280,000 acres of Wisconsin in 1871, killed at least 1,500 people. According to the Wisconsin Historical Society, the area had been suffering such a significant drought that its聽residents had grown used to the smell of smoke聽and the presence of ash in the air. So聽the town of Peshtigo didn鈥檛 take any extra precautions when they went to bed on the night of October 8. Late that night, 鈥渁ll hell rode into town on the back of a wind,鈥 stated one survivor. In the ensuing panic, many people remained in their homes, all but two of which burned down.聽
Neither fire approaches the size of There, hurricane-force winds met drought conditions, burning three million acres in the northern Rocky Mountains. A sparsely populated area, only 78 people were killed, many of them firefighters. It鈥檚 this fire that led to the U.S. Forest Service鈥檚 policy of fire suppression, which is often cited as worsening today鈥檚 wildfire conditions.聽
The Camp Fire supplants last year鈥檚 as the most destructive in the state's history. Tubbs聽is infamous for also burning through an urban area, destroying 2,800 homes in the city of Santa Rosa. It took 22 lives.
While no costs have yet been tabulated for the ongoing disaster, the Tubbs fire may help us gain an understanding of how much the Camp Fire is going to cost. Its聽damage was estimated at , while firefighting costs were $100 million.聽
To me, what鈥檚 remarkable about the Camp Fire isn鈥檛 just the sheer amount of destruction. It鈥檚 the timing. In addition to Camp, there are聽two other terrible fires ravaging California, and all of this is happening just months after the devastating Carr Fire destroyed parts of nearby Redding. In fact, . The Camp Fire isn鈥檛 an outlier鈥攊t鈥檚 just the latest indication that, out West, we have to get used to living with wildfire year-round.聽
A year ago today, I wrote a piece analyzing the impact climate change is going to have on wildfires聽and the people who have to live with them. That led me to research suggesting聽that an estimated 5.1 million homes in California alone are at risk from wildfire鈥120 times more than the number of homes in the state聽that are at risk of sea-level rise.聽
My conclusion then was the same as it is now: climate change is going to massively worsen fire conditions in the American West and we will have to find new ways to live in that much more fire-prone landscape. Until we do, we鈥檙e not watching small, fast-moving individual disasters鈥攚e鈥檙e looking at one very big one.聽