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An avalanche in the Caucasus Mountains
An avalanche in the Caucasus Mountains

Burying the Truth

A recent spate of avalanche deaths near ski resorts sparked a flurry of media reports, many declaring that so-called sidecountry skiing is becoming an increasingly dangerous pursuit. It's just not that simple.

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An avalanche in the Caucasus Mountains

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ON THE AFTERNOON of February 23, a 24-year-old snowboarder named Timothy Robert Baker , a lift-accessed drainage just outside The Canyons Resort, in Park City, Utah. Baker鈥檚 death was the latest in a grim week for Western skiers seeking fresh sidecountry powder鈥攊t was the sixth fatality in 10 days, including two skiers who died in Colorado in separate incidents, and three who perished in a massive slide on Stevens Pass, northeast of Seattle, Washington on February 19.

The rash of accidents pushed the season total of skiers, snowboarders, and snowmobilers , according to the Colorado Avalanche Information Center, a number that is now likely to exceed the national average of 28.8, (January and February are statistically the deadliest months). Not surprisingly, the incidents prompted a melee of media attention, including prominent coverage from the , CNN, NPR, and NBC. One would be forgiven for coming away with the impression that the danger, and the number of skiers and snowboarders courting it, are on the rise, and that, as the Times put it, 鈥渋ncreasingly those who put themselves in harm鈥檚 way seem not to be careless novices but rather experts pushing the limits of safety.鈥

Much of the coverage has focused on two significant trends: the growing popularity of the sidecountry鈥 lift-accessed terrain beyond resort boundaries鈥攚hich isn鈥檛 new; and the use of airbag backpacks as avalanche prophylaxis, which is, at least in North America (the devices have been in use for several years in Europe). The packs, which inflate like car airbags, work on the 鈥淏razil nut principle:鈥 as debris flows down hill, the largest particles sift to the top. Elyse Saugstad, the fourth skier who was also caught in the Stevens Pass slide, has credited an airbag with saving her life; none of the three skiers killed, one of whom was buried just a few feet from Saugstad, were wearing airbag packs. Sales of airbag packs spiked as much as 300 percent in February, according to online retailer .

As for the popularity of the sidecountry, it is indeed on the rise, and by most accounts appears to be accelerating. Given our growing appetite for fresh snow, resorts get tracked up faster than ever鈥攁nd those in search of the next powder fix are all the more apt to leave the resort to find it. 国产吃瓜黑料 has been reporting on this, and the associated problems, for at least a decade, including a nearly identical accident in Dutch Draw back in 2005. While it is partially true that seasoned experts often get into trouble (several studies of avalanche accident history suggest that risk exposure rises with experience level) that only tells part of the story鈥攁nd it's a story that continues to evolve and develop.

鈥淚鈥檇 say about two-thirds of all the accidents are either people who know absolutely nothing about avalanches鈥攖hey鈥檝e bumbled into it, as it were鈥攐r people who know just a very little bit about them,鈥 Bruce Tremper, director of the , and author of , told me. 鈥淭he other third is the hardcore crowd.鈥

The numbers so far this season may be skewed above average due to particularly hazardous snow conditions around the West. It鈥檚 also worth noting that the number of actual fatalities by avalanche, whether in the sidecountry or bona fide backcountry, remains pretty low, both as a percentage of those visiting resorts (about 10 million skiers and snowboarders hit the slopes each year), and compared to other outdoor activities. According to recent figures from the National Safety Council, about 900 people die annually while riding a bicycle, 129 are killed by tornadoes, and 25 by lightning. What鈥檚 more, roughly 40 people die while skiing or riding in-bounds at resorts鈥攁nd, unless the victim is a celebrity, those deaths hardly ever qualify as news.

Since there are no hard numbers reflecting just how many riders are venturing into the sidecountry these days, it鈥檚 impossible to reliably quantify an accident rate. But pretty much everyone I鈥檝e talked to鈥攕kiers and boarders, patrollers, avalanche professionals鈥攁ll concur that the last couple of seasons have witnessed a dramatic increase in traffic beyond the ropes. If true, then it stands to reason that, considering this season鈥檚 poor conditions and what is only a modest spike in the number of fatalities, sidecountry safety on the whole may actually be improving. And that encouraging phenomenon may itself be due to some very recent game-changing developments across the entire industry.

TEN YEARS AGO, the snowsports community was still neatly delineated: You had resort riders, and you had backcountry riders. But since then, nearly everyone, including gear makers, resorts, and the media, have been racing to meet in the middle. In 2009, I wrote about how Black Diamond, best known for climbing hardware and serious ski-touring and telemark equipment, was betting its future on innovative backcountry products that resembled traditional downhill gear. Meanwhile, established alpine ski companies have been moving in the opposite direction, towards lighter-weight, more versatile equipment that allows you to travel more comfortably and efficiently beyond the ropes. In the same way that open boundaries blurred the distinction between backcountry and frontcountry, off-piste and on, this new hybrid equipment blurs where you are supposed to ski and how.

Walk into any specialty wintersports retailer now and you鈥檒l find walls full of fat, rockered skis, touring bindings, and hybrid boots. Marker, who in 2007 began selling the Duke, the industry鈥檚 first truly alpine binding with a walk mode, now offers four different such models. Next season, Atomic, Tyrolia, and Salomon all will be debuting similar heavy-duty crossover bindings. Nordica has an expanding quiver of skis marketed specifically for the sidecountry. And last winter, K2鈥攚hich has been marketing its 鈥湽怨虾诹镶 line of skis directly at the beyond-the-ropes crowd for years鈥攁dded backcountry shovels and probes to their inventory. Just few years ago, a high-performance boot with a walk mode was virtually unheard of; next season you鈥檒l have half a dozen models to choose from, and some will feature grippy Vibram soles. The same thing is happening with soft goods, too. Dozens of manufacturers are now marketing everything from shells to packs to gloves as ideal for sidecountry use.

On the safety side, airbag backpacks have introduced a whole new category of product, and it鈥檚 a hot one. Earlier this winter, at the annual gear orgies鈥攖he Outdoor Retailer (OR) and Snowsports Industry of America (SIA) trade shows鈥攁irbag backpacks were all the talk. As Ryan Stuart writes in Blowing Up, his look at the history and efficacy of the new avy packs, next year “ten companies, including North Face, Arc鈥檛eryx, and Black Diamond, plan to bring air bags to market.” In other words, while last week鈥檚 sudden spotlight on airbag-equipped backpacks might have been surprising to casual skiers, the attention they鈥檙e receiving didn鈥檛 catch the industry flat-footed. The packs join a list of mandatory (shovel, probe, beacon) and highly encouraged equipment, like Black Diamond鈥檚 Avalung (the popular snorkel-like device that can help you breathe under the snow) for anyone interested in venturing into avy-prone territory.

Add to all the gear a fast-changing media landscape that鈥檚 further piquing our appetite for big lines and untracked snow. Outdoor filmmakers and their equipment have become so good that the season鈥檚 fall glut of powder homages are more irresistible than ever (even if some of the dialogue remains lobotomized). And you don鈥檛 have to rely on TGR, Matchstick, or Brain Farm for inspiration anymore, either. Fast advancing consumer technology like helmet cams, smartphones, and editing and file-sharing software has made it easy and nearly instantaneous to produce your own mini-movies. Got a GoPro and Powerbook? You can be the hero of your own ski film, with rabid online communities eager to share it.

WHILE THE EVER-BURGEONING sidecountry trend has breathed fresh life into the industry, and prompted many riders to learn more about snow safety, it鈥檚 also left the typically small, modestly funded avalanche organizations scrambling to keep pace. 鈥淚 use the word overwhelmed a lot, because that鈥檚 how I feel,鈥 says Tremper. 鈥淲e don鈥檛 have a snow science problem. We have a marketing problem.鈥 Efforts from places like the Utah Avalanche Center range from revised signage at side country gates (you may have noticed how big the 鈥淵OU MAY DIE!鈥 lettering has become at your ski hill鈥檚 access point) to an increased emphasis in avalanche courses about the psychology at work on a powder day. 聽聽聽聽聽聽聽聽 聽

Take the Stevens Pass accident, for example. All three skiers who were killed were experienced backcountry users with proper equipment and training. They were following accepted protocols鈥攕kiing one at a time, while others stayed in presumed safe zones. In fact, they were doing everything right, except for one critical thing: Failing to heed what one observer described as the 鈥渂ig blinking red light.鈥 That is, several obvious avalanche hazards indicating that the line they chose had a good probability of sliding. Indicators included a large amount of recent snow (two feet in the previous 24 hours); an exposed 35-degree slope; and posted avalanche warnings from the Washington Avalanche Center that rated the day鈥檚 danger as 聽鈥淗igh.鈥

Sadly, the Stevens Pass incident isn鈥檛 atypical. In response, many avalanche educators have shifted their course emphasis in recent years from snow science and slide mechanics to decision-making, focusing on what is sometimes called 鈥渉euristics鈥濃攕ubconscious factors that influence our decisions. One particularly illuminating 2004 study, produced by Ian McCammon, a NOLS instructor and former aerospace engineer in Salt Lake City, pointed out a few common heuristics that elevate risk exposure and lead to accidents. These include things like 鈥渇amiliarity,鈥 when a group or individual has been to a particular area before; 鈥渟ocial facilitation,鈥 where a group that鈥檚 confident in its abilities will take higher risks as a group than as individuals; and the 鈥渆xpert halo,鈥 in which final decisions may fall on a group 鈥渓eader鈥 for reasons other than their avalanche expertise (e.g. age or charisma).

鈥淎lmost all of our focus now is on decision-making, because it鈥檚 the one factor you can control,鈥 says Brandon Dodge, snow safety director at Brighton, Utah, which has some of the highest sidecountry traffic in the state. 鈥淲e鈥檙e not trying to teach you how to find stable snow. I鈥檝e been doing this for 17 years, and when you鈥檙e looking at a slope, it鈥檚 either, 鈥楾his is obviously unstable,鈥 or 鈥業 don鈥檛 know.鈥欌

IT鈥橲 HARD TO IMAGINE that the siren song of untouched powder, and the vision of ourselves flying through it, somehow overrides our instinct of self-preservation. But the reality may be more subtle and insidious: we somehow convince ourselves that it鈥檚 safe, that it鈥檚 not as risky as the objective warning signs indicate.

鈥淪kiing powder arouses the same part of our brain as drugs or sex,鈥 says Tremper, 鈥渁nd this may be a good example, Have you always made good decisions when you鈥檙e sexually aroused? After avalanche accidents, people tend to say, what were they thinking. Well, thinking had nothing to do with it. You鈥檙e using an entirely different part of your brain.鈥

No doubt, powder is a powerful, nearly inexplicable, aphrodisiac. But it鈥檚 not one that鈥檚 worth your life. I can relate. I was once half-buried in a slide just a few hundred yards from my local resort in Santa Fe, New Mexico鈥攁ll because I wasn鈥檛 paying attention, lulled into that false sense of security because I could practically see my home down in the valley from where I stood. I still ski untracked runs in uncontrolled terrain, but I was scared good and straight after that, and I鈥檝e thought hard before giving in to the temptation of beckoning slopes ever since.

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