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The National Weather Service Is Our Best Federal Agency

Yet it鈥攁long with its meteorologists鈥攊s struggling through the shutdown

Published: 
NOAA took this photo of the Papah膩naumoku膩kea Marine National Monument. You're welcome.

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Private weather companies like AccuWeather and The Weather Channel聽would be lost without the federal government鈥檚 robust network of radars, satellites, sensors, and weather models. The good National Weather Service聽meteorologists keeping their eyes on the sky are working through the shutdown without pay鈥攁nd we鈥檙e much safer for their efforts.

These folks are considered 鈥渆xcepted鈥 federal employees, meaning that they鈥檙e forced to work a normal 40-hour-per-week schedule without pay during a partial government shutdown. That鈥檚 in large part because they鈥檙e responsible for a wide array of crucial forecasting tasks, ranging from predicting the path of blizzards to issuing tornado warnings.

The shutdown, which entered its 28th day on Friday, is starting to take a financial toll on these hard-working scientists. 鈥淚'm lucky to have had some savings built up, but the longer this shutdown lasts the more nervous I get about having to rely on credit cards to pay bills,鈥 says one NWS meteorologist who asked to remain anonymous for fear of losing his job. He noted that federal employees who are required to work through the shutdown can鈥檛 benefit from the financial help often offered to those going without a paycheck, such as filing for unemployment聽or taking on temporary part-time jobs.

While meteorologists are feeling the personal effects of the shutdown, most news coverage () has focused on how the shutdown is affecting weather models and forecast accuracy. Yet concerns that the shutdown is affecting everyday forecasting may be somewhat overblown, say my sources. 鈥淲e have not seen any measurable issues with our forecasting,鈥 says a senior meteorologist working for another NWS office. 鈥淥ur focus is on good science, good forecasts, but even more so, good communication. The forecast means very little if people don't understand the impact to them.鈥

The shutdown may not have an effect on day-to-day forecasting, but it is starting to affect efforts like hurricane predictions in ways that aren鈥檛 immediately obvious. The National Hurricane Center鈥檚 union steward Eric Blake posted explaining how the shutdown will have a negative effect on hurricane forecasting this summer by, for example, delaying improvements to hurricane modeling and cancelling important training sessions for local emergency managers.

The government鈥檚 widespread efforts to improve weather information gathering and advance the science of meteorology is one of its greatest success stories. Thousands of scientists and support staff work out of more than 120 individual NWS offices, serving as the backbone of this country鈥檚 weather infrastructure. Every severe weather watch and warning you hear for your location is issued by your local NWS office. The agency also operates , a critical piece of technology that benefits everyone from office workers to campers. It maintains聽, which provides detailed local forecasts for every square mile of the U.S. There are plenty of specialized agencies under the NWS that keep us abreast of dangerous weather, too. The issues forecasts ahead of severe thunderstorm outbreaks and dangerous wildfire days. The forecasts the track and strength of hurricanes around North America.

You might not know any of this because most people don鈥檛 get their weather forecasts directly from the NWS, which has no app. Private companies鈥 apps are the biggest source of weather information yet they鈥檙e basically parasiting onto the federal government's resources.聽The ubiquitous weather radar imagery you see on every weather app, website, and television channel? It all comes from a network of more than 100 radar dishes maintained by the federal government. NOAA operates the vast majority of these, with the remaining ones operated by the or the military. Some local television stations have their own low-power dishes, but they鈥檙e vulnerable to obstructions and power outages, and have limited range.

Now, private weather companies do develop and use their own weather models. Take AccuWeather, which issued a marketing statement ragging on the NWS鈥檚 forecasting abilities on Thursday. The press release, which the company and , bragged about AccuWeather鈥檚 in-house weather model, which the company said would sustain them through the shutdown, no matter how lengthy. The Weather Channel has access to its own models as well, as do plenty of other weather forecasting companies.

The thing is, those private weather models don鈥檛 operate in a vacuum. Models are made using weather data collected throughout the atmosphere by weather balloons paid for and released by鈥攜ou guessed it!鈥攖he federal government. These models also rely on government satellite data and a vast network of ground-based weather observing stations, many of which are also funded and operated by the government. If a company like AccuWeather or The Weather Channel wanted to match the level of service that we pay for with our tax dollars, they would have to charge way more than they already do for their forecasts. Even the sturdiest company would likely go bankrupt trying to build and maintain an analog to the vast network of satellites, radars, observation stations, and modelling provided by the feds.

Private weather companies and advocates of privatization are fully aware of the value of the federal government鈥檚 meteorological services. The only in recent history was a failed undertaking by former Senator Rick Santorum, a Pennsylvania Republican, back in 2005. The senator introduced a bill that would have prohibited the NWS from releasing any products or forecasts to the public, forcing them to route all of their services鈥攔adar, satellite, weather models, everything鈥攖hrough private companies to be sold back to the American people. The bill was soundly defeated.聽

So as the federal government shutdown enters its second month鈥攁nd employees prepare to miss yet another paycheck鈥攕pare a kind thought for the thousands of dedicated scientists silently working to keep us safe from dangerous weather all across the country. And it doesn鈥檛 hurt to to demand that they reopen the government.

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