Last winter, New Hampshire-based endurance athlete qualified for the U.S. national snowshoe team. She鈥檚 now hard at work training for her world debut at the in Italy鈥攂ut there鈥檚 just one problem. A lack of snow has hampered Canney鈥檚 ability to properly prepare for race-day conditions: last winter, the Granite State Snowshoe Series all but one of its eight races due to an absence of the white stuff.
Snowshoeing might be an obvious example听of how climate change is transforming听racing, but these effects aren’t limited to the winter months.听This summer, Ironman Hamburg had to cancel the swim portion of the race听due to in the Binnen and Aussenalster lakes. And the Missoula Marathon, in Montana, recently announced that it will move听听from mid-July to late June in an attempt听to avoid poor air quality鈥攁 side effect of听increasingly larger听and more common summer wildfires.
And these consequences听of climate change鈥攆rom more wildfires to low precipitation鈥攁re only getting worse. 鈥淧robably the easiest place to see it is with warming temperatures,鈥 says Claudia Tebaldi, project scientist for the in Boulder, Colorado. 鈥淪tudies show that record highs are getting more common, while record lows are almost disappearing.鈥
This is particularly true in the summer. , an independent organization of scientists researching the climate and its impact on the public, recently released showing that 75 percent of 244 U.S. cities in 2017听experienced longer heat waves鈥攄efined by numerous consecutive days over 90 degrees鈥攖han 50 years ago.听鈥淧articipating in an endurance event in the summer is now almost masochistic,鈥 Tebaldi jokes.
Warming temperatures have altered the way 41-year-old Florida resident听Josh Johnston chooses his running events. He used to听race听in November, requiring him to train through summer. 鈥淏ut that became too hot to consider,鈥 he says. 鈥淚 switched to winter races, but for the past two years, even February has been too hot for good half or full marathons.鈥
Johnston has started to focus on races up north, or shorter ones closer to home, to avoid warmer temperatures. Even that is a gamble, though. 鈥淚 raced Boston in 2016 and 2017, assuming that would be ideal, but they were both warm too,鈥 he says. 鈥淚鈥檓 starting to wait until the last minute before I sign up for races.鈥
Tebaldi says that when you look at temperatures across the country, very few places look like they did 20 years ago. Still, if you鈥檙e willing to travel for your races, she recommends the Pacific Northwest because that听region听hasn鈥檛 yet exhibited persistent rising temperatures on par with the rest of the country. 鈥淭hat鈥檚 still a fairly safe bet,鈥 she says.
To find the worst climate-change impacts, look to the interior of the country鈥攚hich experiences regular record-high temperatures鈥攁nd the coasts, says Tebaldi. 鈥淥n the coasts, we鈥檙e seeing more precipitation extremes,鈥 she says. 鈥淲e see floods and storm surges that require race cancellations.鈥
Ironman distance triathlete Jason Bahamundi, 44, of Dallas, has experienced this firsthand. He was on his way to听race his fifth Ironman in 2015, but when his flight landed in Maryland, he was inundated with texts. 鈥淚 had all these messages asking me what I was going to do,鈥 he says. 鈥淗urricane Joaquin was heading in, and the race director had to postpone.鈥
Bahamundi could defer, participate in听another Ironman race in the States, or wait in Maryland for the event鈥檚 rescheduled date, a week later. He听went with the second option.听鈥淚 decided to go with Ironman Florida two months later, but even that was risky because Florida had to cancel its swim in 2014 due to high winds and rough waters,鈥 he says. 鈥淚t also meant asking for more time off from work and getting back to training again.鈥
With all this variability, what’s a race director to do? Most听are gun-shy about pointing to climate change as the reason for so many weather-related cancellations, but some race directors still create听contingency plans, just in case听problems arise. Chris Dunn, organizer of the Granite State Snowshoe Series until 2015, says that he tried to arrange the race schedule to ensure adequate snow cover, with听the northernmost events held听earlier in the season and the southernmost later. 鈥淭he winter can present significant challenges,鈥 he admits.
Bjorn Steinmetz, operations director for , says that the swim cancellation at Ironman Hamburg over the听summer was a result of the warmest summer on record in the area. Lakes and ponds contain varying amounts of bacterial blue-green algae that only becomes harmful when it grows to excessive levels. Direct sunlight and warm temperatures lead to that growth. 鈥淚t鈥檚 what we must deal with now,鈥 Steinmetz says.
In the case of the , race director Tony Banovich says the weather-pattern changes have been noticeable. 鈥淲hat we鈥檙e seeing in the West is that fire season is starting earlier and is more severe,鈥 he says. 鈥淲e felt the risk was high enough to warrant making the date change.鈥 Tebaldi says this was likely the right move. 鈥淲ith warmer, drier summers in [the region], the conditions are ripe for fires to spread quickly,鈥 she says. 鈥淎nd air circulation means that poor air quality has a big reach, hundreds of miles.鈥
All of which leaves athletes faced with uncertainty, no matter the sport. For Canney, the snowshoer who worries about a lack of precipitation this winter, the options are limited. 鈥淪nowshoe racing requires different turnover and leg strength than running on the roads, so I really need that specific training before Italy,鈥 she says. 鈥淚鈥檇 like to be ready and give worlds my best shot, but I don鈥檛 know what early winter will bring this year.”