In 2017, Nike released the Vaporfly 4%, a racing shoe engineered to dramatically improve running economy and help the world鈥檚 fastest marathoners test . (At $250, the 4% would also test the limits of what a rational person might be willing to shell out for a pair of mass-market sneakers.)听Unlike听typical racing flats,听the Vaporfly听was lavishly cushioned with a proprietary ultralight foam dubbed ZoomX, to keep shoe听weight down to 6.8 ounces.
But the foam was only half the story. The Vaporfly鈥檚听midsole also included a spatula-shaped carbon-fiber plate that the brand said was听meant to help fling the runner forward with every stride鈥攐r to at least create a convincing illusion that something like that was happening. 鈥淚 feel like I鈥檓 running downhill,鈥 Nike-sponsored marathoner Galen Rupp purportedly said the first time he tried it.
Ever since Nike launched the first Vaporfly, which has听since听been updated twice, there have been debates about whether the shoe鈥攕pecifically the carbon-plated midsole鈥攕hould be allowed in competition, with about 鈥渟pring-loaded鈥 soles and 鈥渢echnical doping.鈥 Research seems to indicate that the foam contributes a greater boost in running economy than the carbon plate. But that is partially because there is not yet a clear consensus on how the plate is supposed to work. Nike just released a small study to help shed some light on the issue, though it听left open the question of whether the foam was providing the lion鈥檚 share of the advantage.听
For now听the carbon plate remains street legal. (As far as I鈥檓 concerned, if Eliud Kipchoge can set an IAAF-ratified world record in a plate-abetted shoe, the rest of us shouldn鈥檛 have too many qualms about getting in on the action.)听What鈥檚 more, the 4% is not the only running shoe to include it. Nike has given another shoe model the same piece of hardware that had 4% wearers giddily 鈥渞unning downhill,鈥 and Hoka has come out with its own version. I decided to compare these three models to see what all the fuss was about.听
The Shoes
Nike ZoomX Vaporfly Next%

Heel Height: 32 millimeters听
Forefoot Height: 24 millimeters
Drop: 8 millimeters
Weight: 6.8 ounces
Price: $250
The latest supercar to peel off the Nike assembly line, with 15 percent more ZoomX foam than its 4% predecessor, the Next% is intended for racing distances from the 5K to the marathon. Runners who liked the 4%听but were dismayed with the shoe鈥檚 inability to grip the road on wet days will be happy to learn that Nike has added a tread pattern and deep grooves similar to what was .
Hoka One One Carbon X听

Heel Height: 32 millimeters
Forefoot Height: 27 millimeters
Drop: 5 millimeters
Weight: 8.7 ounces
Price: $180
For its most hyped go-fast shoe to date, Hoka also developed a new, lightweight foam called ProFly X. (What is it with all these X鈥檚?) The company, which was ahead of its competitors in the max-cushioning game, has paired the ProFly foam with a carbon plate to bolster the pronounced rocker the brand is known for. While Nike鈥檚 plate looks like something you can flip eggs with, the Hoka , supposedly to optimize supination and help you push off your big toe.听
Nike Zoom Fly 3

Heel Height: 32 millimeters
Forefoot Height: 22 millimeters
Drop: 10 millimeters
Weight: 9.9 ounces
Price: $160
In several ways, Nike鈥檚 Zoom Fly 3 resembles the Next%. Like its more ostentatious sibling in the 2019 ,听the Zoom Fly 3 fuses a light, semitranslucent upper with a plush midsole. (Both shoes incorporate the same carbon plate.) Unlike the Next%, however, the Zoom Fly 3 is made with Nike鈥檚 React foam听instead of the ZoomX, making the shoe heavier听but significantly more durable. The Zoom Fly 3 also has a sock liner for additional comfort.听
The Tests
The last time I did a comparative shoe test, I took each model for two different kinds of easy runs and one quicker-tempo session. Since all three shoes in this test are designed for running fast, I decided to place a greater emphasis on speed. These shoes also all have considerable stack height, so I wanted to see how they would handle running around corners and tighter turns.
Eight Miles Easy听
Eight miles is my standard听run. Since many shoe deficiencies only make themselves known after an hour of so of continuous running, I wanted to make sure to try听each model on an easy run over undulating terrain, when I wouldn鈥檛 necessarily be running as high up on my toes as I might be at a faster pace. I ran these runs at a pace between seven and eight minutes per mile.听
Winner: Carbon X
Not everyone is going to feel this way, but especially on easy runs, I prefer a shoe that I don鈥檛 notice while I鈥檓 wearing it. The Zoom Fly 3鈥檚 firmer outsole rubber made me feel like I was running on a pair oversized erasers, whereas the Next% is probably the most conspicuously squishy running shoe I have ever worn. (国产吃瓜黑料鈥檚 Alex Hutchinson听once suggested that, were it not for the carbon plate, running in the 4% would be like running on marshmallows.)听
The Carbon X is stiffer underfoot than the Next% and has a relatively low heel-to-forefoot drop, but it still provides a massive amount of cushioning, so you never feel like you鈥檙e hammering the pavement. For me, the Carbon X felt most smooth when running eight miles at cruise-control pace. Most likely, this is because eight miles easy is a distance and tempo at which I鈥檓 still comfortable enough that my form never devolves into a heel-striking mess听the way it inevitably does in the latter stages of a marathon.
Fast 800鈥檚听
What better place to assess a shoe鈥檚 ability to run turns at speed than on a standard 400-meter track? In order to get a sense of what these shoes felt like at a pace that (in my lost youth) I might have been able to sustain for a 5K, I went to my local track and banged out a few 800鈥檚听at a five-minute-per-mile pace.听
Winner: Next%
This one came as something of a surprise, to be honest. While there has been the previous iteration of Nike鈥檚 vaunted shoe provides a performance benefit in the marathon, I would have assumed that the Next% wouldn鈥檛 be responsive enough for supershort, fast stuff. There鈥檚 a reason, after all, why track spikes have remained largely () unaffected by the recent surge in max cushioning.听
And yet听the Next% proved to be supremely effective at a five-minute-mile pace. Part of this is surely because this shoe is the lightest in this test. But I was also palpably aware of its forefoot cushioning, which is three millimeters more than the 4%. I don鈥檛 know whether it was the carbon plate or that extra padding, but I definitely experienced a propulsive sensation when I was running at speed and pushing off my toes. The other two shoes felt a little clunkier听at this pace听and didn鈥檛 provide as much pop with the toe-off.听
Two Miles Steady听
I also听tested each of these shoes over a flat, two-mile loop at my (aspirational) marathon pace: roughly 5:50 per mile. (For both this test and the track test, I was very conscious about not running it like a workout. I gave myself a long recovery so that I could focus on the shoes and not on the fact that I鈥檓 kind of out of shape.)
Winner: Next%
Yes, it is perversely expensive, but as far as I鈥檓 concerned, the Next% is the best long-distance racer on the market. Though wobbly when you鈥檙e just puttering about, they let you get into a groove and maintain it once you start rolling at marathon-pace tempo.听
If you spring for these shoes, I recommend breaking them in with a few easy runs and otherwise just saving them for race day. In my experience, the Vaporfly听showed signs of wear on the sole after just one run. In the Next%,听Nike has wisely added some rubber paneling to mitigate the problem, but they still feel pretty fragile.听
This isn鈥檛 to say that the Next% is going to suit everyone. Runners with wider feet may prefer the Carbon X, which also felt very smooth, if a little heavy, at just under my 5:50 pace. (And no wonder: that was roughly the tempo Jim Walmsley maintained for 50 miles to break the world record in a launch event for the shoe.) While the Carbon X isn鈥檛 optimal for up-on-your-toes-style short-distance running, I found its gentle rocking-chair effect most pronounced during the two-mile test, because I was consistently running off my midfoot. That said, if I were to run a longer distance at that pace, I would undoubtedly start coming down harder on my heel. At that point, the more aggressively propulsive ZoomX foam (and the larger offset ratio of the Next%) becomes an invaluable asset.听
Takeaways
If you鈥檙e a hardcore heel striker, the Nike models will probably work better for you than the Carbon X. If you鈥檙e a mid- or forefoot striker who prefers a cushioning system that doesn鈥檛 call attention to itself, the Hoka may be more to your liking.听
As for whether a proliferation of ever more aggressive carbon fiber plates is going to revolutionize distance running, I won鈥檛 hold my听breath. The technology seems to be catching on:听in September, New Balance is releasing a designed specifically for the road mile. But the jury is still out on how effective that听plate is. I think lighter, more propulsive foams are still the bigger story.