For the first time since forecasting began in 1973,聽the 聽(CAIC) has predicted聽extreme avalanche danger in four backcountry zones. The affected zones are Aspen, Vail and Summit County, the Sawatch Range, and Gunnison.
Avalanche conditions are exceptionally dangerous right now,聽says CAIC forecaster Spencer Logan. 鈥淸Avalanches] are running bigger and further than we鈥檝e ever experienced.鈥
Logan says that聽the聽current storm cycle has caused some of the biggest slides in the past 60 years.
The late-season storm cycle that swept across Colorado this week piled thick, wet snow on top of an already unstable snowpack. Persistent weak layers left over from conditions earlier in the season can produce avalanches聽days, weeks, or even months after storms, and Colorado is dealing with them statewide. According to the CAIC, that combination of heavy snow (the kind that makes really good snowballs) and weak lower layers聽makes all sizes of slides more likely鈥攁nd catastrophically large ones especially so.
The organization聽rates avalanche danger on a聽聽from low to extreme. An average season won鈥檛 typically see extreme danger in a single zone. And in the past five years, only once has the CAIC forecasted extreme danger. According to Logan, this is could be a once-in-a-lifetime event.

Today鈥檚 extreme warning indicates that large avalanches are all but聽certain. 鈥淎 lot of places that we think of as being relatively safe are not safe right now,鈥 says Logan. 鈥淎valanches are running all the way to valley floors.鈥
Traveling anywhere near avalanche terrain is really dangerous, even if that terrain has a聽low聽angle or is below tree line. Backcountry roads or trailheads near avalanche paths that are typically safe should be avoided. The Colorado Department of Transportation has even closed down large sections of Interstate 70 between Frisco and Vail.
Friday鈥檚 forecast in much of Colorado鈥檚 mountains will be reduced to high, meaning natural slides are likely and human-triggered slides are very likely, and experts recommend staying out of avalanche terrain entirely.聽Logan says that conditions can change rapidly.
鈥淢ore storms are on the way, and weak layers can be unpredictable,鈥 says Logan.
His advice on staying safe?聽鈥淎void the backcountry.鈥